Sport Picks
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Eindhoven FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer 
Match Events
3'
3'
Boon R.
46'
46'
Sub
Boon R. In: Bryson A.
Out: Boon R.
62'
62'
Sub
van Duijn S. In: de Wit T.
Out: van Duijn S.
AI Match Summary
Eindhoven FC in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eindhoven FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Eindhoven FC haven't matched Jong AZ Alkmaar's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Jong AZ Alkmaar taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- History favors Eindhoven FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong AZ Alkmaar | Eindhoven FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Eindhoven FC
0:1
Dec 19, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:2
Nov 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Eindhoven FC
0:2
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:4
Oct 4, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Eindhoven FC
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Eindhoven FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Renfrum O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong AZ Alkmaar 74 / 100
Eindhoven FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong AZ Alkmaar Eindhoven FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Jong AZ Alkmaar found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Eindhoven FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Jong AZ Alkmaar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong AZ Alkmaar VS Eindhoven FC
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 3
Eindhoven FC
(Away) 09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2 Eindhoven FC
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1 FC Emmen
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1 Dordrecht
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2 Eindhoven FC
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
21 Aug
Den Bosch
5 : 2 Eindhoven FC
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Almere City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Maastricht | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | TOP Oss | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
