Sport Picks
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Helmond Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer 
AI Match Summary
Jong AZ Alkmaar host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Jong AZ Alkmaar have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Helmond Sport's 1 scored and 1.7 conceded. Head-to-head, Jong AZ Alkmaar have won 1 to Helmond Sport's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.88, favoring Jong AZ Alkmaar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Jong AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Jong AZ Alkmaar taking it.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Helmond Sport have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong AZ Alkmaar | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Helmond Sport has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Home)Helmond Sport
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Almere City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Maastricht | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | TOP Oss | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | 7 |
