Sport Picks
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Maastricht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer 
Match Events
36'
36'
Dumont O.
Assist: Hofland M.
46'
46'
Sub
Roede M. In: van den Ban Y.
Out: Roede M.
48'
48'
Menu M.
AI Match Summary
Maastricht in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maastricht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jong AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Maastricht.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Jong AZ Alkmaar taking it.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 68%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong AZ Alkmaar | Maastricht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Maastricht
1:2
Mar 16, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Maastricht
1:1
Nov 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:3
Mar 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:1
Dec 2, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Maastricht
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer Oerip J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Maastricht Compare
Top Goalscorer Dumont O.
1 Goals Assists Leader El Hamdaoui N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong AZ Alkmaar 95 / 100
Maastricht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong AZ Alkmaar Maastricht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Maastricht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Jong AZ Alkmaar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong AZ Alkmaar VS Maastricht
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 3
Maastricht
(Away) 18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0 Maastricht
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1 Maastricht
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0 Maastricht
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1 Maastricht
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
25 Aug
Genk U23
6 : 0 Maastricht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Almere City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 30:18 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Roda | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:25 | 16 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:16 | 15 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Den Bosch | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 14 | TOP Oss | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:25 | 11 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
