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Jong Cambuur vs Jong Excelsior

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
van Delft D.
23' Event
Brzezowski J.
61' Event
Valpoort A.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Cambuur and Jong Excelsior finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jong Cambuur
15%
Draws
42%
Jong Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Excelsior come out ahead of Jong Cambuur on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jong Excelsior's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Jong Cambuur Clean Sheet 11%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Cambuur Jong Excelsior
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 8 14
Draws 2 2
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.93 2.65
Goals Conceded 2.56 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Cambuur vs Jong Excelsior
3:4
Jan 29, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Cambuur
3:0
Feb 12, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Cambuur
1:4
Sep 11, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Cambuur vs Jong Excelsior
0:0
Mar 14, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Cambuur vs Jong Excelsior
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer Brzezowski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ladan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jong Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Meijer S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van Delft D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Cambuur 27 / 100
Jong Excelsior 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Cambuur Jong Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Cambuur scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Jong Excelsior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Jong Cambuur has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Cambuur VS Jong Excelsior
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Cambuur

(Home)
18 Aug
Harkemase Boys
3 : 0
Jong Cambuur
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 4
Jong Cambuur
17 Feb
Jong Cambuur
3 : 1
Jong Vitesse
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4
Jong Cambuur
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Jong Excelsior

(Away)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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