Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Cambuur

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Korte G.
20' Event
Cesnik L.
32' Event
Ladan D.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong De Graafschap and Jong Cambuur finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Cambuur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jong De Graafschap
15%
Draws
48%
Jong Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong De Graafschap come out ahead of Jong Cambuur on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jong De Graafschap's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 13%
Jong Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong De Graafschap Jong Cambuur
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.48 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2020 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Cambuur
1:4
Aug 19, 2019 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Cambuur
2:1
Apr 29, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Cambuur vs Jong De Graafschap
2:2
Dec 11, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Cambuur vs Jong De Graafschap
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Wenting E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Jong Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer Korte G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cesnik L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong De Graafschap 84 / 100
Jong Cambuur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong De Graafschap Jong Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong De Graafschap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong De Graafschap scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Jong Cambuur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Jong De Graafschap remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong De Graafschap VS Jong Cambuur
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong De Graafschap

(Home)
18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4
Jong Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

Jong Cambuur

(Away)
18 Aug
Harkemase Boys
3 : 0
Jong Cambuur
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 4
Jong Cambuur
17 Feb
Jong Cambuur
3 : 1
Jong Vitesse
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4
Jong Cambuur
Page 1 of 6