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Jong De Graafschap vs Jong FC Eindhoven

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Tue, Apr 7, 2020
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong De Graafschap host Jong FC Eindhoven in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Jong De Graafschap are expected to control this from the start. Jong De Graafschap have averaged 2.48 scored and 1.81 conceded recently, against Jong FC Eindhoven's 1.44 scored and 3.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Jong De Graafschap slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 1.69, favoring Jong De Graafschap. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jong De Graafschap
15%
Draws
39%
Jong FC Eindhoven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong De Graafschap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong De Graafschap carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jong De Graafschap a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 13%
Jong FC Eindhoven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong De Graafschap Jong FC Eindhoven
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 2.48 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.81 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2020 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong FC Eindhoven
0:0
Feb 18, 2019 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong FC Eindhoven
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong De Graafschap 84 / 100
Jong FC Eindhoven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong De Graafschap Jong FC Eindhoven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong De Graafschap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong De Graafschap found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Jong FC Eindhoven has conceded goals in 100% of their last 27 outings.

Jong De Graafschap went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jong FC Eindhoven lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong De Graafschap VS Jong FC Eindhoven
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong De Graafschap

(Home)
18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4
Jong Cambuur
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Jong FC Eindhoven

(Away)
09 Mar
Jong Sittard
4 : 6
Jong FC Eindhoven
02 Mar
Jong FC Eindhoven
0 : 3
Jong FC Emmen
17 Feb
Jong Den Bosch
4 : 1
Jong FC Eindhoven
10 Feb
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 3
Jong FC Eindhoven
03 Feb
Jong FC Eindhoven
1 : 3
Jong FC Twente
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