Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Den Bosch vs Jong De Graafschap

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Tue, Apr 28, 2020
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Den Bosch host Jong De Graafschap in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Jong Den Bosch have averaged 2.11 scored and 2.11 conceded recently, against Jong De Graafschap's 2.48 scored and 1.81 conceded. Head-to-head, Jong Den Bosch have won 0 to Jong De Graafschap's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.00 - 2.06) back Jong Den Bosch to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jong Den Bosch
20%
Draws
40%
Jong De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jong De Graafschap have won more games recently than Jong Den Bosch.
  • Model gives Jong De Graafschap a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jong Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Den Bosch Jong De Graafschap
Matches Played 18 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.11 2.48
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Den Bosch vs Jong De Graafschap
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Den Bosch 22 / 100
Jong De Graafschap 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Den Bosch Jong De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong De Graafschap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Den Bosch found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (18 games).

Jong De Graafschap let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Jong Den Bosch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jong Den Bosch VS Jong De Graafschap
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Den Bosch

(Home)
09 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
2 : 3
Jong Den Bosch
02 Mar
Jong Den Bosch
1 : 1
Jong FC Twente
17 Feb
Jong Den Bosch
4 : 1
Jong FC Eindhoven
10 Feb
Jong Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong Den Bosch
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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Jong De Graafschap

(Away)
18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4
Jong Cambuur
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