Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Dordrecht vs Jong Waalwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020 M-Scores Stadion
Mon, Dec 2, 2019
0 - 3
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bilate M.
17' Event
Vermeulen K.
54' Event
Augustijns S.

AI Match Summary

Jong Dordrecht host Jong Waalwijk in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Jong Waalwijk have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Jong Dordrecht have conceded 3.13 and scored 0.5. Past meetings favor Jong Waalwijk slightly — 0-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 2, 2019, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.88 - 1.94) back Jong Waalwijk to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jong Dordrecht
6%
Draws
90%
Jong Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jong Waalwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jong Waalwijk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jong Waalwijk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jong Waalwijk here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jong Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Dordrecht Jong Waalwijk
Matches Played 26 22
Wins 1 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Dordrecht vs Jong Waalwijk
0:3
Nov 5, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Dordrecht
2:0
Mar 14, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Dordrecht
7:0
Aug 16, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Dordrecht vs Jong Waalwijk
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Jong Waalwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilate M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vermeulen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Dordrecht 10 / 100
Jong Waalwijk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Dordrecht Jong Waalwijk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Jong Waalwijk conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

Away concern: Jong Waalwijk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Jong Dordrecht found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Jong Dordrecht VS Jong Waalwijk
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Groningen U211063124:1321
2Jong G.A. Eagles1055022:820
3Jong Zwolle1062225:1420
4Jong Feyenoord1053222:1818
5Jong Heerenveen1043321:2415
6Jong Heracles1042418:1214
7Jong FC Emmen1033421:1912
8Jong Cambuur1031617:2610
9Jong De Graafschap1031613:2510
10Jong Vitesse1022613:228
11Jong FC Twente100377:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jong NAC Breda1091021:428
2Jong Willem II1070322:1321
3Jong Waalwijk1060425:1018
4Jong Nijmegen1052323:1417
5Jong Roda1051425:1816
6Jong Venlo1050529:1415
7Jong Sittard1040619:2712
8Jong Den Bosch1032515:2711
9Jong FC Eindhoven1031616:3710
10Jong Excelsior1022614:298
11Jong Dordrecht1003713:293