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Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Tue, Apr 28, 2020
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Heerenveen host Jong Roda in the Reserve League 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Jong Roda have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Jong Heerenveen have conceded 2.08 and scored 2.16. Head-to-head, Jong Heerenveen have won 2 to Jong Roda's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 0.50, favoring Jong Heerenveen. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jong Heerenveen
30%
Draws
16%
Jong Roda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Roda have won more games recently than Jong Heerenveen.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Roda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heerenveen Jong Roda
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.16 2.58
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Roda
0:0
May 13, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Roda
1:4
Mar 1, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Heerenveen
2:4
Sep 12, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Roda
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heerenveen 32 / 100
Jong Roda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heerenveen Jong Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jong Roda conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Jong Heerenveen scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Recent resilience: Jong Heerenveen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heerenveen VS Jong Roda
0.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 33%
13% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heerenveen

(Home)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
22 Nov
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
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Jong Roda

(Away)
04 Sept
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 2
Jong Roda
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Roda
1 : 1
Groningen U21
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4
Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Venlo
3 : 1
Jong Roda
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