Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Waalwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Mon, Mar 16, 2020
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Heerenveen host Jong Waalwijk in the Reserve League 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Jong Heerenveen at 2.2 goals for, 1.96 against; Jong Waalwijk at 2.04 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Jong Heerenveen have won 1 to Jong Waalwijk's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 0.64, favoring Jong Heerenveen. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jong Heerenveen
15%
Draws
39%
Jong Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Heerenveen come out ahead of Jong Waalwijk on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Jong Waalwijk taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heerenveen Jong Waalwijk
Matches Played 25 23
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.2 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Waalwijk
0:0
May 22, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Waalwijk
2:4
Apr 23, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Heerenveen
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heerenveen 24 / 100
Jong Waalwijk 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heerenveen Jong Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Waalwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jong Heerenveen found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).

Jong Waalwijk let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Solid form: Jong Heerenveen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heerenveen VS Jong Waalwijk
0.38 Goals Scored 0.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heerenveen

(Home)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
22 Nov
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 5

Jong Waalwijk

(Away)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
Page 1 of 5