Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Heerenveen play Jong Willem II in the Reserve League 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jong Heerenveen averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Jong Willem II averaged 1.68 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. In past meetings, Jong Heerenveen won 1, Jong Willem II won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 2, 2020 ended 9:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.67 for Jong Heerenveen and 0.35 for Jong Willem II. This points to a Jong Heerenveen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jong Heerenveen
15%
Draws
32%
Jong Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Jong Heerenveen picked up more points recently compared to Jong Willem II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.67 vs 0.35 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 33%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heerenveen Jong Willem II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.18 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Willem II
9:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Smit R.
4 Goals
Assists Leader van der Heide A.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Jong Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Pol J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.18
Avg xA / game 0.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heerenveen 54 / 100
Jong Willem II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heerenveen Jong Willem II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Heerenveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jong Heerenveen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jong Heerenveen attacking → ← attacking Jong Willem II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Heerenveen scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Jong Willem II let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Jong Heerenveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jong Willem II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 38
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.20
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00