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Jong Heracles vs Jong Venlo

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Van den Buijs D.
25' Event
dos Santos D.
49' Event
Szoke A.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Heracles and Jong Venlo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jong Heracles
15%
Draws
51%
Jong Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Heracles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jong Venlo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heracles Jong Venlo
Matches Played 26 20
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.92 2.3
Goals Conceded 1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 0.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Venlo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Van den Buijs D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.41
Avg xA / game 0.27

Jong Venlo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heracles 20 / 100
Jong Venlo 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heracles Jong Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Venlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Heracles's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Jong Venlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Jong Venlo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heracles VS Jong Venlo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.86
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.43
13% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heracles

(Home)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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Jong Venlo

(Away)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
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