Sport Picks
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Excelsior
Netherlands
Reserve League 2019/2020 
Match Events
55'
55'
van Hecke J. P.
66'
66'
den Heijer L.
79'
79'
Mendes Moreira A.
AI Match Summary
The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong NAC Breda and Jong Excelsior finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong NAC Breda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jong NAC Breda carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong NAC Breda | Jong Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2019 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Excelsior
3:1
Feb 12, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong NAC Breda
0:3
Oct 1, 2018 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Excelsior
3:0
Mar 5, 2018 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Excelsior
0:0
Oct 23, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong NAC Breda
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong NAC Breda Compare
Top Goalscorer van Hecke J. P.
1 Goals Assists Leader den Heijer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Jong Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendes Moreira A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong NAC Breda 36 / 100
Jong Excelsior 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong NAC Breda Jong Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong NAC Breda found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Jong Excelsior conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Jong NAC Breda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong NAC Breda VS Jong Excelsior
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong NAC Breda
(Home) 22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0 Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1 Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2 Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3 Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1 Jong Zwolle
Page 1 of 6
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1 Jong Zwolle
18 Feb
Jong NAC Breda
3 : 0 Jong G.A. Eagles
03 Feb
Jong NAC Breda
3 : 0 Jong Nijmegen
02 Dec
Jong NAC Breda
2 : 0 Jong Willem II
04 Nov
Jong NAC Breda
3 : 1 Jong Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
Jong Excelsior
(Away) 29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4 Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1 Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4 Jong Excelsior
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1 Jong Excelsior
13 Jan
Jong FC Eindhoven
2 : 4 Jong Excelsior
02 Dec
Jong Nijmegen
1 : 1 Jong Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Groningen U21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 2 | Jong G.A. Eagles | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Jong Zwolle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Jong Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 5 | Jong Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 6 | Jong Heracles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:12 | 14 |
| 7 | Jong FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 9 | Jong De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:25 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong FC Twente | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jong NAC Breda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Jong Willem II | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Jong Waalwijk | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Jong Nijmegen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Jong Roda | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25:18 | 16 |
| 6 | Jong Venlo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Jong Sittard | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19:27 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:27 | 11 |
| 9 | Jong FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:37 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Excelsior | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:29 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong Dordrecht | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
