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Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Tue, Apr 28, 2020
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong NAC Breda host Jong Heracles in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Jong Heracles have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Jong NAC Breda have conceded 0.88 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Jong Heracles slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.41 xG vs 0.67) point toward Jong NAC Breda. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jong NAC Breda
30%
Draws
31%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Heracles have managed 1.89 goals a game lately — Jong NAC Breda are scoring more at 2.
  • Win probability leans Jong NAC Breda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong NAC Breda Jong Heracles
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.41 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2020 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heracles
0:0
Apr 24, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong NAC Breda
3:0
Dec 4, 2017 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heracles
2:1
Jan 30, 2017 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heracles
2:3
Dec 5, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong NAC Breda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong NAC Breda 40 / 100
Jong Heracles 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong NAC Breda Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong NAC Breda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong NAC Breda scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Jong Heracles conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Jong NAC Breda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong NAC Breda VS Jong Heracles
0.43 Goals Scored 0.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.38
29% Over 1.5 13%
14% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong NAC Breda

(Home)
22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0
Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1
Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
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Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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