Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Venlo

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
van den Avert J.

AI Match Summary

Jong NAC Breda in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong NAC Breda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jong NAC Breda
20%
Draws
44%
Jong Venlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong NAC Breda lately — more wins on the board than Jong Venlo.
  • Jong Venlo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong NAC Breda Jong Venlo
Matches Played 27 20
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.04 2.3
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong NAC Breda
3:3
Sep 30, 2019 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Venlo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Avert J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Jong Venlo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong NAC Breda 28 / 100
Jong Venlo 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong NAC Breda Jong Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Venlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong NAC Breda's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jong Venlo conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Jong NAC Breda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong NAC Breda VS Jong Venlo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong NAC Breda

(Home)
22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0
Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1
Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

Jong Venlo

(Away)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)