Sport Picks
Jong PSV vs De Graafschap
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Herdgang, Eindhoven 
Match Events
5'
5'
Koller J.
40'
40'
Niemeijer R.
64'
64'
Sub
de Jong F. In: El Kadiri I.
Out: de Jong F.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Jong PSV and De Graafschap finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward De Graafschap.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jong PSV
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- De Graafschap's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what Jong PSV have produced (1).
- Jong PSV are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors De Graafschap here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong PSV | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.67 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs De Graafschap
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Jong PSV
3:2
Feb 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs De Graafschap
1:2
Oct 18, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Jong PSV
3:1
Jan 22, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Jong PSV
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Koller J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Niemeijer R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kwint K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong PSV 56 / 100
De Graafschap 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong PSV De Graafschap
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong PSV scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
De Graafschap has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
De Graafschap lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong PSV VS De Graafschap
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong PSV
(Home) 18 Jul
Jong PSV
2 : 4 Genk U23
24 Apr
Waalwijk
4 : 1 Jong PSV
17 Apr
Jong PSV
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
13 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2 Jong PSV
06 Apr
Jong PSV
1 : 0 Venlo
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18 Jul
Jong PSV
2 : 4 Genk U23
17 Apr
Jong PSV
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
06 Apr
Jong PSV
1 : 0 Venlo
20 Mar
Jong PSV
0 : 2 Vitesse
13 Mar
Jong PSV
1 : 2 Eindhoven FC
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De Graafschap
(Away) 17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6 Telstar
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2 AEK
03 Jul
Heerenveen
7 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2 De Graafschap
09 May
De Graafschap
2 : 2 Almere City
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03 Jul
Heerenveen
7 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2 De Graafschap
06 May
Almere City
3 : 1 De Graafschap
24 Apr
FC Emmen
1 : 0 De Graafschap
11 Apr
Venlo
3 : 3 De Graafschap
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)