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Jong PSV vs TOP Oss

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong PSV host TOP Oss in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Jong PSV at 1.69 goals for, 1.9 against; TOP Oss at 1.55 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, Jong PSV have won 3 to TOP Oss's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.94) back Jong PSV to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jong PSV
15%
Draws
42%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jong PSV carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jong PSV taking it.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong PSV TOP Oss
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs TOP Oss
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong PSV
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs TOP Oss
2:2
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong PSV
0:3
May 3, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs TOP Oss
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong PSV 34 / 100
TOP Oss 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong PSV TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong PSV scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: TOP Oss conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Difficult form: TOP Oss registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong PSV VS TOP Oss
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong PSV

(Home)
14 Aug
Almere City
3 : 1
Jong PSV
10 Aug
Jong PSV
3 : 2
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Jong PSV
2 : 4
Genk U23
24 Apr
Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong PSV
17 Apr
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
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TOP Oss

(Away)
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2
NAC Breda
01 Aug
Genk
3 : 1
TOP Oss
25 Jul
Almere City
8 : 4
TOP Oss
18 Jul
TOP Oss
3 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
12 Jul
TOP Oss
0 : 1
Duisburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 2 2 0 0 7:5 6
2 Maastricht 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
3 Almere City 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Dordrecht 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Venlo 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
7 Eindhoven FC 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Roda 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Jong PSV 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
10 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Waalwijk 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 De Graafschap 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Den Bosch 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 Helmond Sport 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 FC Volendam 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17 TOP Oss 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Jong Ajax 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Jong Utrecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
20 Jong AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)