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Jong PSV vs TOP Oss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Hinoke M.
45' Event
van den Berg J.
Assist: Cornecion S.
46'
Sub
Bynoe J. In: Horemans M.
Out: Bynoe J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Jong PSV and TOP Oss finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong PSV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jong PSV
20%
Draws
44%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TOP Oss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Jong PSV carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on TOP Oss taking it.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 16%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong PSV TOP Oss
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs TOP Oss
1:0
Feb 9, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs TOP Oss
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong PSV
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs TOP Oss
2:2
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong PSV
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Berg J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

TOP Oss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong PSV 28 / 100
TOP Oss 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong PSV TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong PSV scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: TOP Oss conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Jong PSV has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong PSV VS TOP Oss
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong PSV

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6

TOP Oss

(Away)
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)