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Jong PSV W vs SBV Excelsior W

World World

Club Friendly Women 2025
Sat, Aug 30, 2025
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong PSV W host SBV Excelsior W in the Club Friendly Women 2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Jong PSV W at 1.25 goals for, 2.75 against; SBV Excelsior W at 1.13 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor Jong PSV W slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.30, favoring Jong PSV W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jong PSV W
15%
Draws
0%
SBV Excelsior W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SBV Excelsior W have won more games recently than Jong PSV W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Jong PSV W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jong PSV W Clean Sheet 19%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong PSV W SBV Excelsior W
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 22
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Jong PSV W vs SBV Excelsior W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong PSV W 67 / 100
SBV Excelsior W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong PSV W SBV Excelsior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SBV Excelsior W let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

SBV Excelsior W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Jong PSV W scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS SBV Excelsior W
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong PSV W

(Home)
13 Feb
Jong PSV W
0 : 7
PSV W
16 Apr
Jong PSV W
0 : 2
Twente W
17 Mar
VV Alkmaar W
0 : 1
Jong PSV W
25 Feb
Telstar W
2 : 4
Jong PSV W

SBV Excelsior W

(Away)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
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