Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Sittard vs Jong Nijmegen

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Theunissen D.
34' Event
Karjalainen R.
43' Event
Ioannidis D.

AI Match Summary

Jong Sittard in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Sittard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jong Sittard
20%
Draws
33%
Jong Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Nijmegen average 2.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Jong Sittard's 2.04.
  • Model gives Jong Nijmegen a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Jong Sittard Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Nijmegen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Sittard Jong Nijmegen
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.04 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2022 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Sittard
2:2
Nov 26, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Nijmegen
2:1
Mar 11, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Nijmegen
0:1
Apr 10, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Nijmegen
3:1
Oct 17, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Sittard
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Karjalainen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ioannidis D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Jong Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Theunissen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Sittard 24 / 100
Jong Nijmegen 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Sittard Jong Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Nijmegen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Sittard found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Jong Nijmegen let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Jong Sittard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Sittard VS Jong Nijmegen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Sittard

(Home)
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Mar
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Sittard
22 Feb
Jong Sittard
6 : 1
Jong Almere City
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
Page 1 of 6

Jong Nijmegen

(Away)
12 Aug
De Treffers
4 : 2
Jong Nijmegen
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
01 Mar
Jong Almere City
1 : 6
Jong Nijmegen
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5
Jong Heracles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)