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Jong Sittard vs Jong Venlo

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Donkor J.
57' Event
Breukers B.
67' Event
Karjalainen R.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Sittard and Jong Venlo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Sittard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jong Sittard
15%
Draws
32%
Jong Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Venlo haven't matched Jong Sittard's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jong Sittard's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Jong Sittard Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Sittard Jong Venlo
Matches Played 25 20
Wins 11 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.12 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Venlo
2:1
Dec 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Venlo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Donkor J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breukers B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jong Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastiaans A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Sittard 49 / 100
Jong Venlo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Sittard Jong Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Sittard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Sittard scored in 84% of their last 25 games.

Jong Venlo has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jong Sittard stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Sittard VS Jong Venlo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Sittard

(Home)
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Mar
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Sittard
22 Feb
Jong Sittard
6 : 1
Jong Almere City
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
Page 1 of 5

Jong Venlo

(Away)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)