Sport Picks

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Jong Sittard vs Jong Venlo

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
44' Event
89' Event
Sorga E.

AI Match Summary

Jong Sittard in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Sittard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jong Sittard
15%
Draws
32%
Jong Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Sittard have won more games recently than Jong Venlo.
  • Jong Sittard are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Jong Sittard Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Sittard Jong Venlo
Matches Played 25 20
Wins 11 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.12 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Venlo
2:1
Dec 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Venlo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Sittard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Jong Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorga E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Sittard 49 / 100
Jong Venlo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Sittard Jong Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Sittard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Sittard's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jong Venlo conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jong Sittard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Sittard VS Jong Venlo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Sittard

(Home)
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Mar
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Sittard
22 Feb
Jong Sittard
6 : 1
Jong Almere City
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
Page 1 of 5

Jong Venlo

(Away)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)