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Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Jong AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
50' Event
51' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Jong Sparta Rotterdam and Jong AZ Alkmaar finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
30%
Draws
41%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jong AZ Alkmaar a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jong AZ Alkmaar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Sparta Rotterdam Jong AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.07 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
5:0
Jul 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
4:0
Dec 18, 2016 Tweede Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2:3
Aug 15, 2016 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Sparta Rotterdam 26 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Jong AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Sparta Rotterdam scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Jong AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Jong Sparta Rotterdam has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Sparta Rotterdam VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Home)
10 Oct
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 4
Jong Almere City
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
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Jong AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6
Jong AZ Alkmaar
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