Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
den Boggende T.
32' Event
El Arguioui R.
36'
van Vianen D.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Jong Utrecht and Dordrecht finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Utrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jong Utrecht
20%
Draws
57%
Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dordrecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dordrecht are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 11%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Utrecht Dordrecht
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht
3:1
Nov 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Utrecht
1:2
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
May 10, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer den Boggende T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Arguioui R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dordrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Venema N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Utrecht 14 / 100
Dordrecht 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Utrecht Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dordrecht Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Utrecht found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Dordrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jong Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Utrecht VS Dordrecht
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Utrecht

(Home)
09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
26 Jul
Dortmund II
5 : 1
Jong Utrecht
03 Jul
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Werder Bremen II
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2
Jong Utrecht
20 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Dordrecht

(Away)
07 Aug
Dordrecht
2 : 1
Jong Ajax
01 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Anderlecht U23
25 Jul
Dordrecht
2 : 2
Al Khaleej
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
14 Jul
Dordrecht
4 : 1
Dortmund II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)