Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Venlo vs Jong Dordrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020 Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Sinclair J.
40' Event
Samson M.
62' Event
Kokkinis S.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Venlo and Jong Dordrecht finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Venlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jong Venlo
15%
Draws
0%
Jong Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jong Venlo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Jong Venlo taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Venlo Jong Dordrecht
Matches Played 20 26
Wins 8 1
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.3 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.8 3.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong Dordrecht
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokkinis S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Jong Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Venlo 85 / 100
Jong Dordrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Venlo Jong Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Venlo scored in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Jong Dordrecht let in goals in 100% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jong Dordrecht's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Venlo VS Jong Dordrecht
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Venlo

(Home)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
Page 1 of 4

Jong Dordrecht

(Away)
11 Aug
Jong Feyenoord
5 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 4
Jong Cambuur
17 Feb
Jong Sittard
2 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
10 Feb
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 3
Jong FC Eindhoven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)