Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Venlo vs Jong Waalwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Yeboah J.
29' Event
Wright H.
34' Event
Vente D.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Venlo and Jong Waalwijk finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Waalwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jong Venlo
15%
Draws
42%
Jong Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Venlo haven't matched Jong Waalwijk's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Jong Venlo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jong Waalwijk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Venlo Jong Waalwijk
Matches Played 20 22
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.3 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong Waalwijk
0:0
Jan 27, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong Waalwijk
2:5
Aug 19, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Venlo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeboah J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wright H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Jong Waalwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahiri A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vente D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Venlo 40 / 100
Jong Waalwijk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Venlo Jong Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Venlo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Jong Waalwijk has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Difficult form: Jong Waalwijk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Venlo VS Jong Waalwijk
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Venlo

(Home)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
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Jong Waalwijk

(Away)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
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