Sport Picks
Jong Vitesse vs Jong De Graafschap
Netherlands
Reserve League 2019/2020 
Match Events
12'
12'
Vervelde Q.
37'
37'
Lieshout J.
42'
42'
Vervelde Q.
AI Match Summary
The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Vitesse and Jong De Graafschap finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong De Graafschap.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Jong De Graafschap carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jong Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Vitesse | Jong De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Vitesse vs Jong De Graafschap
0:0
Dec 2, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Vitesse vs Jong De Graafschap
1:4
Apr 29, 2018 Derde Divisie
Jong Vitesse vs Jong De Graafschap
3:2
Feb 11, 2018 Derde Divisie
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Vitesse
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Vitesse Compare
Top Goalscorer Agrafiotis N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Jong De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Vervelde Q.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lieshout J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Vitesse 30 / 100
Jong De Graafschap 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Vitesse Jong De Graafschap
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong De Graafschap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Jong Vitesse's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Jong De Graafschap has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Jong Vitesse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jong Vitesse VS Jong De Graafschap
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Vitesse
(Home) 12 Nov
Jong Vitesse
7 : 0 Den Haag U21
09 Mar
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0 Jong Vitesse
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0 Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong Cambuur
3 : 1 Jong Vitesse
10 Feb
Jong Vitesse
3 : 1 Jong Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6
12 Nov
Jong Vitesse
7 : 0 Den Haag U21
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0 Jong De Graafschap
10 Feb
Jong Vitesse
3 : 1 Jong Den Bosch
03 Feb
Jong Vitesse
6 : 2 Jong Sittard
02 Dec
Jong Vitesse
1 : 4 Jong De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
Jong De Graafschap
(Away) 18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2 Jong De Graafschap
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0 Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2 Jong De Graafschap
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4 Jong Cambuur
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2 Jong De Graafschap
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0 Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2 Jong De Graafschap
27 Jan
Jong Sittard
2 : 4 Jong De Graafschap
15 Jan
Jong Heracles
5 : 1 Jong De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Groningen U21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 2 | Jong G.A. Eagles | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Jong Zwolle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Jong Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 5 | Jong Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 6 | Jong Heracles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:12 | 14 |
| 7 | Jong FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 9 | Jong De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:25 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong FC Twente | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jong NAC Breda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Jong Willem II | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Jong Waalwijk | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Jong Nijmegen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Jong Roda | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25:18 | 16 |
| 6 | Jong Venlo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Jong Sittard | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19:27 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:27 | 11 |
| 9 | Jong FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:37 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Excelsior | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:29 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong Dordrecht | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
