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Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Nijmegen Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020 Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Beekman T.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Waalwijk and Jong Nijmegen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Nijmegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jong Waalwijk
15%
Draws
46%
Jong Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Nijmegen come out ahead of Jong Waalwijk on wins alone.
  • Jong Nijmegen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Nijmegen Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Waalwijk Jong Nijmegen
Matches Played 22 25
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.14 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Waalwijk
0:0
Dec 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Nijmegen
0:1
Feb 18, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Nijmegen
2:1
Mar 5, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Waalwijk
1:3
Nov 14, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Nijmegen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Waalwijk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Jong Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Beekman T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Waalwijk 10 / 100
Jong Nijmegen 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Waalwijk Jong Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Nijmegen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Waalwijk found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (22 games).

Jong Nijmegen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Jong Waalwijk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Waalwijk VS Jong Nijmegen
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
13% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Waalwijk

(Home)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
Page 1 of 5

Jong Nijmegen

(Away)
12 Aug
De Treffers
4 : 2
Jong Nijmegen
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
01 Mar
Jong Almere City
1 : 6
Jong Nijmegen
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5
Jong Heracles
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)