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Jong Willem II vs Jong Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Remans M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Brrou A.
60' Event
Vrousai M.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Willem II and Jong Roda finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Jong Willem II
20%
Draws
32%
Jong Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Roda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jong Willem II's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Roda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Willem II Jong Roda
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.48 2.58
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Roda
0:0
Nov 25, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Roda
2:3
Oct 22, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Willem II
0:4
Feb 5, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Roda
1:0
Aug 21, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Willem II
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Vrousai M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gladon P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jong Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Brrou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Willem II 38 / 100
Jong Roda 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Willem II Jong Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Willem II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Willem II scored in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Jong Roda conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Jong Roda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Willem II VS Jong Roda
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Willem II

(Home)
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong Heerenveen
9 : 1
Jong Willem II
17 Feb
Jong Heracles
3 : 1
Jong Willem II
03 Feb
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Jong Willem II
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Jong Roda

(Away)
04 Sept
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 2
Jong Roda
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Roda
1 : 1
Groningen U21
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4
Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Venlo
3 : 1
Jong Roda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)