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Jong Zwolle vs Jong Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
van Crooij V.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Zwolle and Jong Heracles finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Zwolle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Jong Zwolle
20%
Draws
23%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Zwolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Heracles have managed 1.85 goals a game lately — Jong Zwolle are scoring more at 2.04.
  • Win probability leans Jong Zwolle's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jong Zwolle have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jong Zwolle Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Zwolle Jong Heracles
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.04 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Zwolle vs Jong Heracles
1:0
Dec 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Zwolle
0:2
Apr 15, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Zwolle vs Jong Heracles
3:1
Aug 20, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Zwolle vs Jong Heracles
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer van Crooij V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Jong Heracles Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Zwolle 85 / 100
Jong Heracles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Zwolle Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Zwolle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Zwolle scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Jong Heracles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Jong Zwolle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Zwolle VS Jong Heracles
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Zwolle

(Home)
10 Mar
Jong Zwolle
4 : 0
Jong Feyenoord
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
24 Feb
Jong Zwolle
2 : 3
Jong Heerenveen
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4
Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Zwolle
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
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Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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