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Jong Zwolle vs Jong Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Zwolle play Jong Willem II in the Reserve League 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jong Zwolle averaged 2.04 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Jong Willem II averaged 1.48 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. In past meetings, Jong Zwolle won 4, Jong Willem II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 20, 2020 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Jong Zwolle and 0.63 for Jong Willem II. This points to a Jong Zwolle double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jong Zwolle
15%
Draws
32%
Jong Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Zwolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Jong Zwolle picked up more points recently compared to Jong Willem II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Jong Zwolle Clean Sheet 29%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Zwolle Jong Willem II
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.04 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Zwolle
0:1
Apr 8, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Zwolle
0:1
Mar 12, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Zwolle vs Jong Willem II
5:0
Oct 17, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Zwolle
2:1
Mar 13, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Zwolle vs Jong Willem II
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Zwolle 54 / 100
Jong Willem II 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Zwolle Jong Willem II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Zwolle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jong Zwolle & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jong Zwolle attacking → ← attacking Jong Willem II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Zwolle scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Jong Willem II let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Jong Zwolle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jong Willem II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 32
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38