Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonkoping vs Trollhattan

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Stadsparksvallen
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kiwarkis A.
Assist: Karlsson A.
26' Event
Lyck L.
(Penalty)
26'
Marinkovic K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Jonkoping and Trollhattan finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jonkoping
6%
Draws
4%
Trollhattan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jonkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jonkoping carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jonkoping a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jonkoping have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 20%
Trollhattan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonkoping Trollhattan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Trollhattan
4:1
Oct 25, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Jonkoping
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Trollhattan
2:1
Aug 12, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Trollhattan
1:1
Jun 24, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Jonkoping
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Shamoun J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kiwarkis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Trollhattan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sterner F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonkoping 85 / 100
Trollhattan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonkoping Trollhattan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trollhattan let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Jonkoping found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jonkoping stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jonkoping VS Trollhattan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg1495033:1232
2AFC Malmo1483328:1627
3Atvidaberg1475230:1826
4Lunds Bois1475226:1626
5Rosengard1464423:1922
6Hassleholms IF1463527:2221
7Tvaaker1463517:1921
8Eskilsminne1562725:2820
9Olympic1461722:2419
10Jonkoping1453620:1518
11Angelholm1437422:2216
12Skovde1437411:2016
13Kristianstad1535716:2414
14Laholms1441921:2913
15Trollhattan1427518:2613
16Utsikten14111210:394