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Jonsereds vs Astorps

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
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Match Events

51' Event
Johansson S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 game between Jonsereds and Astorps finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jonsereds
11%
Draws
9%
Astorps
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jonsereds come out ahead of Astorps on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jonsereds a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jonsereds have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%
Astorps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Astorps
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
1:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Jonsereds
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Astorps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 74 / 100
Astorps 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Astorps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Astorps conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Jonsereds's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Jonsereds remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Astorps
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Laholms26193469:3360
2Tvaaker26176370:2457
3Astorps26136743:3245
4Onsala26135864:4144
5Frolunda261331050:5042
6Lindome261321163:5441
7Qviding261151057:4838
8Jonsereds26108848:4838
9BK Astrio261061055:4436
10Landvetter261031347:5533
11Hestrafors26681240:4826
12Boljan26651533:5923
13Varbergs GIF26711829:5822
14Bergdalens IK26232125:999