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Jonsereds vs Astorps

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
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Match Events

51' Event
Johansson S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 game between Jonsereds and Astorps finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jonsereds
15%
Draws
40%
Astorps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jonsereds come out ahead of Astorps on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jonsereds have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 20%
Astorps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Astorps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
1:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Jonsereds
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Astorps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 31 / 100
Astorps 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Astorps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonsereds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonsereds found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Astorps's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Jonsereds remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Astorps
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
23 Aug
Galtabacks
1 : 1
Jonsereds
15 Aug
Jonsereds
2 : 1
Onsala
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Astorps

(Away)
13 Sept
Astorps
1 : 2
Qviding
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
30 Aug
Landvetter
2 : 1
Astorps
22 Aug
Astorps
2 : 0
Kongahalla
14 Aug
Boljan
0 : 1
Astorps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)