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Stadium Background

Jonsereds vs Astorps

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Frank C.
25' Event
Stern-Pettersson A.
39' Event
Migawa F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Jonsereds and Astorps finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jonsereds
11%
Draws
9%
Astorps
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jonsereds come out ahead of Astorps on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jonsereds a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jonsereds have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%
Astorps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Astorps
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
1:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Jonsereds
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Frank C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stern-Pettersson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Astorps Compare

Top Goalscorer Migawa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Branting A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 74 / 100
Astorps 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Astorps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Astorps conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Jonsereds scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Jonsereds stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Astorps
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter14111225:834
2Frolunda1475232:1926
3Dalstorps1475227:1626
4Jonsereds1473423:2324
5Hestrafors1472529:2523
6Lindome1464426:2222
7Boljan1455420:1920
8Qviding1453629:2918
9Onsala1445521:2417
10Torslanda1437418:2016
11Astorps1435618:2714
12Kongahalla1425714:2711
13Galtabacks1423920:259
14BK Astrio14131010:286