Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonsereds vs Astorps

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Frank C.
25' Event
Stern-Pettersson A.
39' Event
Migawa F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Jonsereds and Astorps finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jonsereds
15%
Draws
48%
Astorps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Astorps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jonsereds come out ahead of Astorps on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 20%
Astorps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Astorps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Jonsereds
2:0
Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
1:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Jonsereds
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Frank C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stern-Pettersson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Astorps Compare

Top Goalscorer Migawa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Branting A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 36 / 100
Astorps 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Astorps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astorps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astorps's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Jonsereds found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Jonsereds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Astorps
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
23 Aug
Galtabacks
1 : 1
Jonsereds
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Astorps

(Away)
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
13 Sept
Astorps
1 : 2
Qviding
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
30 Aug
Landvetter
2 : 1
Astorps
22 Aug
Astorps
2 : 0
Kongahalla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 22 15 3 4 38:18 48
2 Dalstorps 22 12 6 4 43:24 42
3 Hestrafors 22 12 4 6 47:37 40
4 Jonsereds 21 11 5 5 38:34 38
5 Lindome 22 10 4 8 40:34 34
6 Frolunda 21 9 6 6 41:34 33
7 Boljan 22 9 6 7 35:30 33
8 Qviding 22 9 4 9 42:42 31
9 Onsala 22 7 6 9 31:35 27
10 Torslanda 22 6 7 9 36:39 25
11 Kongahalla 22 6 6 10 32:41 24
12 Astorps 21 6 5 10 26:36 23
13 Galtabacks 21 4 5 12 28:35 17
14 BK Astrio 22 1 3 18 15:53 6
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)