Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonsereds vs Boljan

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Nilsson E.
44' Event
Wesley S.
74' Event
Johansson S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Jonsereds and Boljan finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jonsereds
30%
Draws
31%
Boljan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Medium Confidence
  • Jonsereds carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jonsereds have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%
Boljan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Boljan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Boljan
3:0
Aug 8, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Boljan vs Jonsereds
2:0
Mar 28, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Boljan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wesley S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Boljan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 29 / 100
Boljan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Boljan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonsereds scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Boljan let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Jonsereds went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Boljan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
31 Jul
Lindome
2 : 3
Jonsereds
28 Jun
Jonsereds
1 : 0
Kongahalla
17 Jun
Landvetter
1 : 0
Jonsereds
13 Jun
Jonsereds
2 : 2
Qviding
05 Jun
Jonsereds
4 : 2
Galtabacks
Page 1 of 6

Boljan

(Away)
31 Jul
Boljan
2 : 1
Frolunda
25 Jun
Galtabacks
0 : 0
Boljan
18 Jun
Boljan
1 : 2
Onsala
14 Jun
Frolunda
1 : 1
Boljan
05 Jun
Boljan
3 : 1
BK Astrio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 15 12 1 2 26:8 37
2 Jonsereds 15 8 3 4 26:25 27
3 Frolunda 15 7 5 3 33:21 26
4 Dalstorps 15 7 5 3 27:17 26
5 Hestrafors 15 8 2 5 31:26 26
6 Lindome 16 7 4 5 30:25 25
7 Boljan 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Qviding 16 6 4 6 33:31 22
9 Torslanda 15 4 7 4 20:21 19
10 Onsala 15 4 6 5 21:24 18
11 Astorps 16 3 5 8 19:31 14
12 Kongahalla 15 2 6 7 14:27 12
13 Galtabacks 16 2 4 10 22:28 10
14 BK Astrio 15 1 3 11 11:31 6
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)