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Joondalup City vs Armadale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Iluka Sports Complex, Joondalup
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Match Events

23' Event
Griffiths L.
55' Event
Griffiths L.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Steer L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Joondalup City
30%
Draws
47%
Armadale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Armadale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Armadale haven't matched Joondalup City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Armadale a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Joondalup City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Armadale, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 14%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joondalup City Armadale
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Joondalup City
1:1
Sep 5, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Joondalup City vs Armadale
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Steer L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joondalup City 27 / 100
Armadale 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joondalup City Armadale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armadale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Joondalup City scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Armadale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Joondalup City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Joondalup City VS Armadale
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Joondalup City

(Home)
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
Joondalup City
1 : 0
Curtin University
08 Aug
Inglewood Utd
1 : 1
Joondalup City
Page 1 of 7

Armadale

(Away)
19 Sept
Armadale
3 : 0
UWA Nedlands
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Armadale 3
Joondalup City 2
UWA Nedlands 1
Mandurah City 0
Final
Armadale 3
UWA Nedlands 0