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Jordan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Qashi Y.
19' Event
Al Ghamdi R.
Assist: Al Juwayr M.
38' Event
Azaizeh A.
Assist: Abu Ghoush M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Jordan U23
15%
Draws
17%
Saudi Arabia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jordan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saudi Arabia U23 lately — more wins on the board than Jordan U23.
  • Win probability leans Jordan U23's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Saudi Arabia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saudi Arabia U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Jordan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jordan U23 Saudi Arabia U23
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 18
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Jordan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
3:2
Mar 20, 2024 WAFF Championship U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Jordan U23
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Jordan U23
2:1
Oct 12, 2021 WAFF Championship U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Jordan U23
1:3
Oct 11, 2019 Friendly International
Jordan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jordan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaizeh A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khrouba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghamdi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jordan U23 77 / 100
Saudi Arabia U23 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jordan U23 Saudi Arabia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jordan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jordan U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Saudi Arabia U23 conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Jordan U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jordan U23 VS Saudi Arabia U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jordan U23

(Home)
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U20
1 : 2
Jordan U23
16 Jan
Japan U23
2 : 1
Jordan U23
12 Jan
Jordan U23
1 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
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Saudi Arabia U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Saudi Arabia U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Syria U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
4 Qatar U23 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 South Korea U23 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Iran U23 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 China U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Iraq U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)