Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jordan vs Morocco

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Thu, Dec 18, 2025
2 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tannane O.
Assist: Zouhzouh A.
17'
Sub
El Berkaoui K. In: El Mahdioui A.
Out: El Berkaoui K.
46'
Sub
Shararh In: Fakhoury O.
Out: Shararh

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jordan
15%
Draws
85%
Morocco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morocco come out ahead of Jordan on wins alone.
  • Morocco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Morocco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Morocco here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Jordan Clean Sheet 10%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jordan Morocco
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 26
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.23 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 2.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Jordan vs Morocco
2:3
Dec 4, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Jordan vs Morocco
0:4
Oct 10, 2016 Friendly International
Morocco vs Jordan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jordan Compare

Top Goalscorer Olwan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.41

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamdallah A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tannane O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.19
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jordan 10 / 100
Morocco 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jordan Morocco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Jordan scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Morocco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 34% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Morocco has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jordan VS Morocco
1.14 Goals Scored 2.25
2.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 50%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jordan

(Home)
28 Jun
Jordan
1 : 3
Argentina
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
07 Jun
Colombia
2 : 0
Jordan
31 May
Switzerland
4 : 1
Jordan
Page 1 of 6

Morocco

(Away)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palestine 1
Saudi Arabia 2
Jordan 1
Iraq 0
Morocco 1
Syria 0
Algeria 1
United Arab Emirates 2
Semi-finals
Saudi Arabia 0
Jordan 1
Morocco 3
United Arab Emirates 0
Final
Jordan 2
Morocco 3
Saudi Arabia 0
United Arab Emirates 0