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Jose Bonifacio EC U20 vs Ferroviaria U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jose Bonifacio EC U20 play Ferroviaria U20 in the Paulista U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jose Bonifacio EC U20 averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Ferroviaria U20 averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Jose Bonifacio EC U20 won 0, Ferroviaria U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 3, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Jose Bonifacio EC U20 and 1.36 for Ferroviaria U20. This points to a Ferroviaria U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jose Bonifacio EC U20
20%
Draws
46%
Ferroviaria U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Jose Bonifacio EC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviaria U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Jose Bonifacio EC U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jose Bonifacio EC U20 Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2024 Paulista U20
Jose Bonifacio EC U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
1:2
Aug 30, 2024 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Jose Bonifacio EC U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jose Bonifacio EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer de Lima J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jose Bonifacio EC U20 34 / 100
Ferroviaria U20 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jose Bonifacio EC U20 Ferroviaria U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ferroviaria U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jose Bonifacio EC U20 attacking → ← attacking Ferroviaria U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jose Bonifacio EC U20 scored in 76% of their last 25 games.

Ferroviaria U20 let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jose Bonifacio EC U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviaria U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 61
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Paulo U20650120:415
2Desportivo U20631211:910
3Referencia U2062139:127
4Sao Bento U2060246:212
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U20633014:712
2Novorizontino U20632110:711
3XV de Jau U2062315:49
4Botafogo SP U2060064:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ibrachina U20624010:610
2Corinthians U20622211:98
3Ferroviaria U2062225:98
4Jose Bonifacio EC U2061237:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bragantino U20650118:515
2Santos U20640212:512
3Mirassol U20630310:129
4Sertaozinho U2060062:200