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Jose Bonifacio EC vs Guaruja

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Jose Bonifacio EC and Guaruja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jose Bonifacio EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jose Bonifacio EC
20%
Draws
0%
Guaruja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jose Bonifacio EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jose Bonifacio EC come out ahead of Guaruja on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Jose Bonifacio EC taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 20%
Guaruja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jose Bonifacio EC Guaruja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.27 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2012 Paulista A4
Guaruja vs Jose Bonifacio EC
2:2
Aug 12, 2012 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Guaruja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jose Bonifacio EC 85 / 100
Guaruja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jose Bonifacio EC Guaruja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jose Bonifacio EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guaruja let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Guaruja registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Jose Bonifacio EC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jose Bonifacio EC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jose Bonifacio EC

(Home)
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1
Jose Bonifacio EC
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Guaruja

(Away)
08 Jul
Elosport
3 : 0
Guaruja
30 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3
AA Itarare
23 Jun
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Guaruja
16 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3
Jabaquara
10 Jun
Maua FC
3 : 0
Guaruja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Barueri 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
2 Votuporanguense 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Nacional SP 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 SKA Brasil 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Fernandopolis 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
3 Mauaense 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
4 Sumare 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Americo EC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
4 Guaruja 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Vicente 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
2 Tupa 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
4 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)