Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Oliveira I.
34'
34'
Lamim T.
87'
87'
Samba B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Jose Bonifacio EC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jose Bonifacio EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jose Bonifacio EC come out ahead of Manthiqueira on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Jose Bonifacio EC's way, sitting at 70%.
- Jose Bonifacio EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Manthiqueira, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 68%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jose Bonifacio EC | Manthiqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Manthiqueira
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC
0:2
Aug 20, 2017 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC
1:0
Jul 15, 2017 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Manthiqueira
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jose Bonifacio EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lamim T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Samba B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Manthiqueira Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliveira I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jose Bonifacio EC 77 / 100
Manthiqueira 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jose Bonifacio EC Manthiqueira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manthiqueira has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.
Jose Bonifacio EC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Jose Bonifacio EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jose Bonifacio EC VS Manthiqueira
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Jose Bonifacio EC
(Home) 19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0 Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1 Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
07 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 1 Riopretano
24 May
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Tupa
Page 1 of 3
Manthiqueira
(Away) 05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 7
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
31 May
Uniao Mogi
1 : 0 Manthiqueira
16 May
Mauaense
2 : 2 Manthiqueira
03 May
Itaqua
2 : 0 Manthiqueira
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP3
Paulinense1
Flamengo SP4
Matonense1
Itaqua5
Uniao Mogi1
Jose Bonifacio EC2
America SP4
Semi-finals
Independente SP-
Flamengo SP-
Itaqua-
America SP-
Final
TBD-
TBD-