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JS Hercules vs TP-47

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Heinäpää
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Koivumies L.
46'
Sub
Huitsi E. In: Karppelin A.
Out: Huitsi E.
46'
Sub
Toivanen E. In: Eskelinen M.
Out: Toivanen E.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C game between JS Hercules and TP-47 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TP-47.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
JS Hercules
44%
Draws
20%
TP-47
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • TP-47 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • History favors TP-47 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
JS Hercules Clean Sheet 20%
TP-47 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JS Hercules TP-47
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 4 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules vs TP-47
1:2
Jul 24, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs JS Hercules
1:5
May 22, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules vs TP-47
1:5
Jul 25, 2024 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs JS Hercules
3:2
May 16, 2024 Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules vs TP-47
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JS Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Karsama J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

TP-47 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lantto E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taskila E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JS Hercules 36 / 100
TP-47 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JS Hercules TP-47

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TP4 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TP-47's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

JS Hercules found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

TP-47 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JS Hercules VS TP-47
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GBK Kokkola1380533:2524
2Jaro 21270526:3621
3Narpes Kraft1361641:3319
4Huima / Urho1253429:2318
5TP-471245322:2117
6SJK Akatemia 21252519:2217
7VPS 21244430:2416
8JBK1251620:1816
9Vaajakoski1242625:3014
10JS Hercules1232717:3011