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JS Kairouan vs ES Jerba

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Chaabani O.
70' Event
Assidi H.
90'
Jerbi W.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between JS Kairouan and ES Jerba finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ES Jerba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
JS Kairouan
20%
Draws
40%
ES Jerba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and JS Kairouan come out ahead of ES Jerba on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
JS Kairouan Clean Sheet 20%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JS Kairouan ES Jerba
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.76 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 2
JS Kairouan vs ES Jerba
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tunisia Cup
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Ligue 2
JS Kairouan vs ES Jerba
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JS Kairouan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

ES Jerba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaabani O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assidi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JS Kairouan 32 / 100
ES Jerba 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JS Kairouan ES Jerba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Jerba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

JS Kairouan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

JS Kairouan's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

JS Kairouan VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

JS Kairouan

(Home)
14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0
JS Kairouan
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Monastir
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1
Ben Guerdane
26 Apr
Club Africain
2 : 0
JS Kairouan
Page 1 of 7

ES Jerba

(Away)
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2
ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1
Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0
ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2
ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)