Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juan Aurich Pastor vs Estudiantil CNI

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juan Aurich Pastor play Estudiantil CNI in the Copa Peru 2017. Juan Aurich Pastor are favorites here. Recently, Juan Aurich Pastor averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Estudiantil CNI averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Juan Aurich Pastor won 1, Estudiantil CNI won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 12, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Juan Aurich Pastor and 1.06 for Estudiantil CNI. This points to a Juan Aurich Pastor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Juan Aurich Pastor
25%
Draws
15%
Estudiantil CNI
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Juan Aurich Pastor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Juan Aurich Pastor picked up more points recently compared to Estudiantil CNI.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Juan Aurich Pastor Clean Sheet 22%
Estudiantil CNI Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Pastor Estudiantil CNI
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2017 Copa Peru
Estudiantil CNI vs Juan Aurich Pastor
2:0
Nov 7, 2017 Copa Peru
Juan Aurich Pastor vs Estudiantil CNI
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich Pastor 58 / 100
Estudiantil CNI 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Pastor Estudiantil CNI

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Aurich Pastor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Juan Aurich Pastor & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juan Aurich Pastor attacking → ← attacking Estudiantil CNI

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Aurich Pastor scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Estudiantil CNI let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Juan Aurich Pastor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Estudiantil CNI lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 32
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25