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Juan Aurich vs Alianza Huanuco

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juan Aurich play Alianza Huanuco in the Liga 2 2023. Alianza Huanuco are favorites here. Recently, Juan Aurich averaged 0.43 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Alianza Huanuco averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Juan Aurich won 0, Alianza Huanuco won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Juan Aurich and 1.30 for Alianza Huanuco. This points to a Alianza Huanuco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Juan Aurich
21%
Draws
57%
Alianza Huanuco
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Alianza Huanuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Juan Aurich picked up more points recently compared to Alianza Huanuco.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 19%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Alianza Huanuco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2024 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Juan Aurich
3:0
Apr 9, 2024 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Alianza Huanuco
0:3
Sep 13, 2023 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Alianza Huanuco
0:0
Jun 18, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Juan Aurich
2:0
Aug 21, 2022 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Juan Aurich
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 24 / 100
Alianza Huanuco 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Alianza Huanuco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Huanuco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Alianza Huanuco & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juan Aurich attacking → ← attacking Alianza Huanuco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Aurich scored in 31% of their last 29 games.

Alianza Huanuco let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Juan Aurich went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Alianza Huanuco lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427