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Juan Aurich vs Comerciantes FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Silva S.
40'
Sub
Peralta S. In: Pacheco O.
Out: Peralta S.
63'
Sub
Reategui P. In: Romero L.
Out: Reategui P.

AI Match Summary

Comerciantes FC in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comerciantes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Juan Aurich
6%
Draws
90%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comerciantes FC lately — more wins on the board than Juan Aurich.
  • Comerciantes FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 15%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2023 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Comerciantes FC
0:2
Jul 2, 2023 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Juan Aurich
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Aurich Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cenepo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 10 / 100
Comerciantes FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Comerciantes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Juan Aurich's goal record stands at 31% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Comerciantes FC conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Comerciantes FC registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Comerciantes FC
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427