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Juan Aurich vs Comerciantes FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Silva S.
40'
Sub
Peralta S. In: Pacheco O.
Out: Peralta S.
63'
Sub
Reategui P. In: Romero L.
Out: Reategui P.

AI Match Summary

Comerciantes FC in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comerciantes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Juan Aurich
20%
Draws
80%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comerciantes FC lately — more wins on the board than Juan Aurich.
  • Comerciantes FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 23%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.43 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2023 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Comerciantes FC
0:2
Jul 2, 2023 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Juan Aurich
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Aurich Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cenepo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 10 / 100
Comerciantes FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Comerciantes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comerciantes FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comerciantes FC let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Juan Aurich found the back of the net in 31% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Comerciantes FC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Comerciantes FC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Aurich

(Home)
06 Jul
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
03 Jul
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
San Marcos
30 Jun
Pirata
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
15 Jun
Juan Pablo II
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
09 Jun
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 6

Comerciantes FC

(Away)
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
15 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
2 : 2
Comerciantes FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes Unidos 26 20 3 3 54:22 63
2 Los Chankas 26 16 5 5 72:25 53
3 Alianza Huanuco 26 15 6 5 43:25 51
4 Llacuabamba 26 13 7 6 44:31 46
5 Santos FC 26 12 6 8 32:24 42
6 Comerciantes FC 26 11 6 9 27:26 39
7 U. San Martin 26 10 6 10 34:30 36
8 Deportivo Coopsol 26 10 6 10 30:29 36
9 Juan Aurich 26 7 10 9 23:27 31
10 Union Huaral 26 5 9 12 22:34 24
11 Ayacucho 26 5 8 13 37:50 23
12 Pirata 26 5 6 15 22:59 21
13 Carlos Stein 26 1 5 20 26:76 8
14 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 26 6 9 11 36:44 27
Promotion - Liga 1 2024 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)