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Juan Pablo II vs A. Lima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Almiron M.
Assist: Reyna P.
43' Event
Castillo E.
Assist: Velez J.
54'
Sub
Ramirez N. In: Duran J.
Out: Ramirez N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Juan Pablo II and A. Lima finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Juan Pablo II
20%
Draws
36%
A. Lima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • A. Lima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Juan Pablo II's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and A. Lima have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 20%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Pablo II A. Lima
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs A. Lima
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Juan Pablo II
2:0
Aug 1, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs A. Lima
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Juan Pablo II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Pablo II Compare

Top Goalscorer Almiron M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Pablo II 49 / 100
A. Lima 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Pablo II A. Lima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Juan Pablo II remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Juan Pablo II scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

A. Lima has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Juan Pablo II VS A. Lima
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Pablo II

(Home)
17 Oct
Juan Pablo II
2 : 0
Sport Boys
10 Oct
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1
Juan Pablo II
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
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A. Lima

(Away)
18 Oct
A. Lima
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2
A. Lima
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 12 8 1 3 25:12 25
2 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
3 Universitario de Deportes 12 7 3 2 25:19 24
4 Juan Pablo II 12 6 4 2 23:13 22
5 FBC Melgar 12 6 4 2 22:13 22
6 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 7 1 4 20:11 22
7 A. Lima 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
8 Alianza Atl. 12 7 1 4 24:22 22
9 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
10 Sport Boys 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
11 Atletico Grau 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
12 Cienciano 12 4 2 6 15:18 14
13 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
14 FC Cajamarca 12 3 2 7 18:25 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 12 2 4 6 20:23 10
16 Moquegua 12 2 4 6 8:19 10
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 12 0 2 10 11:26 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)