Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Atl.

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal de la Juventud
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juan Pablo II play Alianza Atl. in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Juan Pablo II averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Alianza Atl. averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Juan Pablo II won 3, Alianza Atl. won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Juan Pablo II and 1.38 for Alianza Atl.. This points to a Alianza Atl. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Juan Pablo II
18%
Draws
45%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Juan Pablo II picked up more points recently compared to Alianza Atl..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 17%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Pablo II Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Atl.
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Atl.
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Juan Pablo II
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Atl.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Pablo II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer del Castillo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penilla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Pablo II 37 / 100
Alianza Atl. 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Pablo II Alianza Atl.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alianza Atl. or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juan Pablo II attacking → ← attacking Alianza Atl.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Pablo II scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Alianza Atl. let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Juan Pablo II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alianza Atl. lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 38
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016