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Stadium Background

Juan Pablo II vs Cienciano

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Aguirre G. In: Garces C.
Out: Aguirre G.
46'
Sub
Salazar R. In: Barreto G.
Out: Salazar R.
46'
Sub
Cabello C. In: Souza Espana C.
Out: Cabello C.

AI Match Summary

Juan Pablo II in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juan Pablo II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Juan Pablo II
15%
Draws
27%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Juan Pablo II haven't matched Cienciano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Juan Pablo II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 15%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Pablo II Cienciano
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Cienciano
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Juan Pablo II
6:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Juan Pablo II
2:1
Jun 27, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Cienciano
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Pablo II Compare

Top Goalscorer Posito J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cienciano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Pablo II 84 / 100
Cienciano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Pablo II Cienciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Juan Pablo II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Juan Pablo II found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Cienciano has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juan Pablo II VS Cienciano
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Pablo II

(Home)
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6

Cienciano

(Away)
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)