Sport Picks
Juan Pablo II vs Universitario de Deportes
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Municipal de la Juventud, Chongoyape 
Match Events
3'
3'
Cueva C.
3'
3'
Cueva C.
3'
3'
Cueva C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Juan Pablo II and Universitario de Deportes finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Deportes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juan Pablo II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes come out ahead of Juan Pablo II on wins alone.
- Juan Pablo II are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 12%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Juan Pablo II | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Universitario de Deportes
1:4
Oct 5, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Juan Pablo II
3:0
Sep 18, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Juan Pablo II
0:0
May 18, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Universitario de Deportes
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Juan Pablo II Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Top Goalscorer Flores E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Miguel Silveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Juan Pablo II 65 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Juan Pablo II Universitario de Deportes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Juan Pablo II remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Juan Pablo II scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Universitario de Deportes let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Juan Pablo II VS Universitario de Deportes
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Juan Pablo II
(Home) 20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0 Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4 Juan Pablo II
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0 Moquegua
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1 AD Tarma
08 Aug
Juan Pablo II
0 : 0 Atletico Grau
25 Jul
Juan Pablo II
2 : 0 Cienciano
Page 1 of 4
Universitario de Deportes
(Away) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
16 Aug
FC Cajamarca
2 : 3 Universitario de Deportes
02 Aug
Cienciano
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
