Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez vs Club Tijuana

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Monchu
11'
Tona I.
30'
Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

Club Tijuana in this Liga MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Tijuana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Juarez
15%
Draws
34%
Club Tijuana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Juarez at 1.55 per game, Club Tijuana at 1.14.
  • Club Tijuana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Juarez Clean Sheet 16%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Club Tijuana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Club Tijuana
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Juarez
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Juarez
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Juarez
1:2
Nov 7, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Club Tijuana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Club Tijuana Compare

Top Goalscorer Castaneda K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arciga R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 28 / 100
Club Tijuana 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Club Tijuana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Tijuana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Club Tijuana has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Club Tijuana registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Club Tijuana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
16 Aug
Monterrey
6 : 1
Juarez
12 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
Juarez
08 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
Juarez
05 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2
Juarez
01 Aug
Juarez
1 : 5
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

Club Tijuana

(Away)
17 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 1
Cruz Azul
14 Aug
Portland Timbers
3 : 1
Club Tijuana
10 Aug
San Diego FC
1 : 0
Club Tijuana
07 Aug
Austin FC
2 : 0
Club Tijuana
01 Aug
Atletico San Luis
0 : 0
Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNAM Pumas 17 10 6 1 34:17 36
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 33:17 36
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 31:18 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 25:19 31
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 28:16 30
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 16:18 26
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 28:18 25
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 20:17 25
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 19:17 23
10 Club Leon 17 7 1 9 22:32 22
11 Queretaro 17 4 8 5 17:21 20
12 Juarez 17 5 4 8 26:32 19
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 22:24 18
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 24:27 18
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 19:25 18
16 Mazatlan FC 17 4 3 10 22:37 15
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 13:26 13
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 20:38 12
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)